Trump’s Complicated Diplomacy: Can Relations with Putin Foster Peace in Ukraine?

Despite President Trump’s assertions of a strong rapport with Putin and optimism about negotiating peace, the ongoing violence in Ukraine raises doubts about the effectiveness of his diplomacy.

President Trump has characterized Russian President Vladimir V. Putin as “savvy” and “genius” after the invasion of Ukraine, proudly showcasing the “very, very good relationship” he shares with the autocratic leader. His remarks have worked to reframe the narrative of the war, painting Ukraine as a perpetrator rather than a victim, and have even led to public criticisms of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky regarding the origins of the conflict and hindrances to peace talks. However, four months into his presidency, Trump's strategy of praising and justifying Putin has failed to deliver the promised cessation of violence, initially claimed to be achievable within 24 hours.

In recent weeks, Trump's optimism about leveraging his connection with Putin has waned as the Kremlin's aggressive tactics persist. Expressing frustration in the Oval Office, Trump remarked, “We’re going to find out whether or not he’s tapping us along,” indicating a growing skepticism about the fidelity of Putin’s intentions. The ongoing violence and fatalities during the so-called negotiation periods have contributed to Trump's disappointment.

After a lack of progress in a recent high-stakes call between the two leaders, Trump hinted at a potential recalibration of his approach, suggesting that it may ultimately rely on Russia and Ukraine to resolve their differences independently. This precarious situation highlights the challenges inherent in a diplomatic strategy that relies heavily on personal relationships amid an escalating and tragic conflict.