Competing Models for Postwar Governance in Gaza Emerge

Mon Feb 03 2025 17:44:10 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
Competing Models for Postwar Governance in Gaza Emerge

As tensions subside in Gaza, four distinct governance models are proposed amidst ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas.


The prolonged conflict in Gaza has sparked a debate over its future governance, leading to four emerging models: continued Hamas control, expanded Israeli presence, international oversight from foreign contractors, and potential Palestinian Authority re-establishment.

Article Text:

After nearly 16 months of intense conflict in Gaza, discussions surrounding the future governance of the territory are gaining momentum. Despite ongoing hostilities, a fragile cease-fire has paved the way for Israel and Hamas to consider negotiations for a prolonged peace, prompting the emergence of four competing governance models for postwar Gaza.

Firstly, Hamas, despite suffering setbacks, continues to wield considerable power in the region. The militant group remains determined to solidify its authority over the majority of the enclave. Under the existing cease-fire agreement, Israel is expected to gradually withdraw its military presence from Gaza; however, Israeli forces still maintain control over strategic areas, with certain right-wing Israeli factions advocating for increased military operations if needed.

Another governmental possibility involves foreign security contractors at Israel's behest, who are currently managing a checkpoint in northern Gaza. This venture focuses on screening vehicles for weapons, and some Israeli officials suggest that this arrangement could evolve into a broader international governance model, potentially involving neighboring Arab states rather than solely private contractors.

In southern Gaza, the Palestinian Authority has begun playing a role by staffing a border crossing with Egypt alongside European security representatives. Although the Authority lost control of Gaza to Hamas in 2007, its leaders hope to regain influence and could potentially replicate their collaborative efforts throughout the territory.

As negotiations continue, the question of who will effectively govern Gaza post-conflict looms large, with each model representing a different vision for the enclave's future.

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