The Kurdish militant group PKK will symbolically lay down its arms in a ceremony on Friday, a first step towards ceasing hostilities that have spanned over four decades. This disarmament process is to be conducted under rigorous security protocols in Iraqi Kurdistan and is estimated to continue throughout the summer. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has welcomed this move, characterizing it as a momentous opportunity to dismantle the remnants of conflict that have burdened the nation.

Since the conflict ignited in 1984, approximately 40,000 lives have been lost, with the PKK designated as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the US, EU, and UK. The disarmament will have repercussions not only in Turkey but in Iraq, Syria, and Iran as well. A small contingent of PKK members is expected to lay down their weapons in a secure, undisclosed location near Suleymaniyah, where they will eventually return to their bases. Political figures from Turkey's pro-Kurdish opposition, the Dem party, are expected to attend, though major Turkish political parties will likely be absent.

Abdullah Ocalan, the PKK’s incarcerated leader, has advocated for this transition from armed conflict to a focus on democratic processes. Currently serving life imprisonment on Imrali Island since 1999, Ocalan remains a crucial figure for many Kurds despite being a contentious symbol in Turkey.

This is not the first effort to broker peace between the Turkish state and the PKK; existing peace attempts faced setbacks, including the collapse of a ceasefire in 2015 that led to renewed violence. The PKK has transformed from seeking an independent Kurdish state to advocating for increased autonomy for Kurds, who constitute about 20% of Turkey's population.

Triggered by a call from nationalist leader Devlet Bahceli in October 2024 for "terror-free Turkey," the movement towards disarmament gained momentum. Ocalan's historic appeal earlier this year, requesting the PKK to disband, highlighted the changing political atmosphere that might eventually allow for his release.

Following the disarmament ceremony, focus will shift to the Turkish Parliament where a commission will determine subsequent actions. A potential review of Ocalan's incarceration conditions could emerge as tensions ease, though his release remains uncertain.

With ongoing speculations regarding constitutional changes that may allow Erdogan to extend his presidency beyond its current term, the intersection of peace negotiations and political maneuvering remains complex. As Erdogan's party seeks support from pro-Kurdish factions, the future of Turkey's political landscape remains up in the air as both sides aim for a resolution to the longstanding conflict.