**Is the Coalition Government in South Africa on the Brink of Collapse?**

Sun Jun 08 2025 14:17:58 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
**Is the Coalition Government in South Africa on the Brink of Collapse?**

Tensions rise following a crucial budget vote as ANC and DA clash over spending policies.


Political divisions are deepening in South Africa's coalition government, with potential implications for the country’s economic stability.

In a recent turn of events, South Africa's coalition government finds itself precariously positioned after a critical budget vote revealed deep-seated divisions between its major parties, the African National Congress (ANC) and the Democratic Alliance (DA). The DA, a centre-right party, opposed the fiscal framework that is pivotal for the national budget, rejecting an increase in the Value Added Tax (VAT) while advocating for cuts in government spending. Conversely, the ANC, positioning itself as a centre-left party, dismissed the DA's proposal for what it dubbed an "austerity budget."

In a display of political maneuvering, the ANC managed to secure the backing of several smaller parties, successfully passing the fiscal framework through parliament with a vote tally of 194 to 182. In response, the DA initiated legal action challenging the vote, labeling it "procedurally flawed." As party leaders convene to discuss their coalition role, uncertainty looms over whether the DA will exit this "government of national unity."

Professor William Gumede from Wits University remarked on the DA's dilemma: "It will be considering if this is the tipping point for its continued coalition participation or if it should wait for the court's verdict." Formed less than a year ago, the coalition emerged after the ANC lost its parliamentary majority for the first time since Nelson Mandela's era, leading to calls from South Africa's business community to establish a coalition for economic stability.

DA spokesperson Willie Aucamp accused the ANC of serious misconduct, indicating that the party might not stay in the coalition for long. "The ANC must understand that power-sharing is a two-way street," said DA federal chair Helen Zille, emphasizing that negotiations should be fair. The ANC took a strong stance as well, with parliamentary chief whip Mdumiseni Ntuli accusing the DA of betrayal.

The political landscape was further complicated when the DA found itself voting alongside two populist opposition parties, including the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and Jacob Zuma's uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party, both of which have previously opposed DA's pro-business agenda. Their common stance against an increase in VAT highlighted a rising consensus against policies perceived to burden the poor.

While the ANC contends that a VAT increase is essential for raising government revenue for public services, dissent is brewing. With the Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP) siding with the ANC, the coalition's internal dynamics are shifting rapidly, and small opposition party ActionSA played a role in facilitating ANC’s budgeting win, striking a deal that would explore alternatives to VAT hikes.

As arguments around the budget unfold, analysts like Professor Gumede suggest that the DA's positioning suggests it aims to be seen as pro-poor. With the affordability of increasing taxes lingering amidst deteriorating public services, the optics do not favor the ANC. Furthermore, the DA's ongoing legal challenges regarding other contentious legislations, including land expropriation, deepen the rift.

This political turmoil coincides with a tough stance from the United States, which has enacted tariffs of 30% on South African imports, further jeopardizing the economic landscape as unemployment rates soar beyond 30%. The action has elicited condemnation from the Ramaphosa administration, which views the tariffs as punitive measures likely to hinder trade and prosperity.

In conclusion, as South Africa grapples with these internal divisions and external pressures, the urgency for the ANC and DA to re-evaluate their partnership grows—failing which, the nation may face a more profound economic crisis amid rising uncertainty.

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