**Can Europe Stand Alone Against Russia in Ukraine?**

Tue Mar 11 2025 02:56:45 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
**Can Europe Stand Alone Against Russia in Ukraine?**

In the absence of US military backing, Europe's capacity to deter Russian aggression is under scrutiny.


European nations are being pushed to reassess their military readiness in the face of escalating tensions in Ukraine, especially without a solid US commitment to direct military support.

The situation in Ukraine has raised questions about Europe's defense capabilities amid rising fears of further Russian aggression, particularly in light of the US's reluctance to send military forces to the region.

However, President Donald Trump has recently expressed confidence in Britain's military capabilities, asserting that they could manage their own defense despite the scale of the Russian threat. "The British have incredible soldiers," he stated, but this rhetoric leaves an unresolved question regarding whether the UK can take on Russia alone.

While US military figures commend Britain's armed forces, there’s considerable concern about recent reductions, especially within the British Army, which now numbers just above 70,000 regular troops. In contrast, Russian military expenditure has soared, surpassing the total defense budgets of European nations, and stands at an alarming 6.7% of its GDP.

The crux of the matter is whether Europe can effectively deter Russia. Sir Keir Starmer, the UK opposition leader, underscores the need for enhanced US military assurances, given that Europe's constituted forces would unlikely muster the 100,000 to 200,000 troops President Volodymyr Zelensky believes necessary for deterrence.

Currently, discussions revolve around establishing a coalition of around 30,000 troops to provide reassurance at critical sites like Ukrainian cities and ports, with European assets monitoring airspace and shipping. However, any proposed force appears insufficient, signaling the need for a US "backstop" to provide the necessary confidence against potential Russian advances.

The US's involvement is crucial for operational success, already showcased in previous NATO missions, including logistical support during the Libyan conflict, indicating a dependence on American infrastructure. As European nations enhance their defense spending in light of global tensions, the question remains whether they are prepared to lead military actions independently.

The recent visit of Sir Keir Starmer to Washington has yielded no solid US guarantees, leaving European leaders to gauge the extent of US support. Concurrently, European leaders are evaluating their collective will to commit ground forces in a precarious landscape, exploring the nuances of a potential commitment with Washington.

There are indications of willingness from some Northern European nations, however, countries like Spain, Italy, and Germany have yet to support a military commitment. As discussions unfold, Europe's resilience and strategic cohesion will be tested under Donald Trump's previous leadership promises, facing the stark reality of a militarily formidable Russia.

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