India Threatens to Halt Water Supply, Risks Economic Turmoil for Pakistan

Mon Jun 16 2025 13:26:06 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
India Threatens to Halt Water Supply, Risks Economic Turmoil for Pakistan

India’s potential withdrawal from the Indus Waters Treaty poses a significant threat to Pakistan's agricultural sector amid rising geopolitical tensions following a deadly attack in Kashmir.


Following a militant attack in Kashmir, India suspended its participation in the Indus Waters Treaty, a significant water-sharing agreement with Pakistan. This threat looms large over Pakistan's agricultural sector and economy, which heavily relies on water resources from the Indus River. Pakistan's government warns that any blockage of water would be considered an act of war.

India announced on Wednesday that it would suspend its engagement with the Indus Waters Treaty, which has governed water distribution between the two nations since 1960. This decision comes closely on the heels of a militant attack that claimed the lives of 26 civilians in Indian-administered Kashmir, with India suggesting potential "cross-border linkages" to the incident.

The Indus Waters Treaty allows Pakistan to utilize the resources from the Indus River system, which is vital for its agricultural and economic stability, contributing to roughly one-fourth of the nation's economy. If India proceeds with its threat, it would have severe repercussions on Pakistan’s ability to irrigate crops and provide clean water for its population.

The Pakistani government reacted firmly, labeling any attempt to restrict water flow as an “act of war.” While India, being the larger and more developed nation, may seem to face fewer immediate consequences, it could encounter significant global backlash and questions regarding compliance with international law.

Analysts indicate that this situation could escalate tensions between the two countries further, highlighting the fragility of regional stability in South Asia. The need for diplomatic engagement and conflict resolution is increasingly critical as both nations navigate these tumultuous waters.

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