Will Republicans Secure the House? Key Races to Observe

Mon Jul 14 2025 13:03:10 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Will Republicans Secure the House? Key Races to Observe

In a pivotal moment for American politics, the outcome of several key congressional races remains undecided as Republicans and Democrats vie for control of the House of Representatives.


As of Thursday morning, Republicans are seven seats shy of the crucial 218 needed for a majority, while Democrats are on the hunt for 15 additional seats. With the Senate and presidency having shifted to Republican leadership under President-elect Donald Trump, control of the House could empower the party to introduce significant legislation and initiate impeachment proceedings.

Democratic hopes hinge on several contentious races, particularly in California, where five battleground seats could shape the House's future. Notable contests include:

- **California's 45th District:** Republican Michelle Steel holds a slim 4-point lead against Democrat Derek Tran.
- **California's 27th District:** Incumbent Mike Garcia is narrowly ahead by 2 points over George Whitesides.
- **California's 41st District:** Ken Calvert leads Democrat Will Rollins by just 2%.
- **California's 22nd District:** Republican David Valadao has a more comfortable lead of 10 points against Rudy Salas.
- **California's 13th District:** John Duarte is holding a 2-point edge over Adam Gray.

Arizona also remains a focal point, featuring two razor-thin races; Juan Ciscomani is ahead of Kirsten Engel by 0.5 points, and David Schweikert leads Amish Shah by only 1%. In Maine, Democratic Congressman Jared Golden is barely ahead of his Republican challenger, showing the competitiveness that could flip districts. Additionally, in Ohio's 9th District, Marcy Kaptur clings to a 0.3 point lead over Derek Merrin after nearly all votes have been counted.

As the final votes come in from these critical races, both parties continue to strategize on how the balance of power in the House will unfold. The significance of the outcome cannot be overstated, as it will define the legislative landscape for the next two years and direct the trajectory of policies coming from the White House.

Stay tuned for more updates as we track these and other important races shaping the makeup of Congress.

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